XRP Price Analysis: Bears Prevail as $3.25 Resistance Remains Strong

XRP Price Analysis: Bears Prevail as $3.25 Resistance Remains Strong

XRP

XRP is trading at $3.06 with a market capitalization of $181.57 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of $11.35 billion. The digital asset moved within a 24-hour intraday price range of $3.06 to $3.34, reflecting high volatility amid ongoing bearish pressure.

1-Hour Chart Analysis

On the 1-hour chart, XRP shows signs of near-term consolidation following a sharp breakdown from $3.34 to $2.97. Although there was a temporary bounce toward the $3.15 region, the price is currently hovering around $3.07 to $3.10, indicating weak follow-through from buyers. A notable spike in volume during the breakdown candle signals substantial selling pressure, likely from institutional participants. Attempts to push higher have faced rejection at $3.15, establishing this level as short-term resistance. The coin appears to be forming a base near $3.05, with bullish momentum only resuming if $3.12 is reclaimed.


XRP/USD via Bitfinex 1-hour chart on Aug. 14, 2025.

4-Hour Chart Analysis

The 4-hour chart supports the broader bearish narrative, with XRP experiencing a sharp drop from around $3.30 to $2.98 in one decisive candle. Despite a minor recovery attempt, the price remains subdued below $3.10, confirming a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. High-volume red candles indicate dominant sell-side control, while weak rebounds show little buyer commitment. Traders may find speculative entries around $2.95–$3.00 with tight stops below $2.90. Resistance is firmly positioned between $3.15 and $3.30, where failed rallies are likely to meet profit-taking.


XRP/USD via Bitfinex 4-hour chart on Aug. 14, 2025.

Daily Chart Analysis

Daily chart analysis further confirms a bearish structure. After peaking near $3.66, XRP has undergone a multi-day correction, breaking below the $3.10 support zone with high volume. The structure now reveals a double top formation around $3.65—a classical bearish reversal pattern—reinforcing caution. The most recent red candle also breached prior swing lows, strengthening the bearish case. Short-term resistance is located at $3.25–$3.35, while strong support lies at $2.80–$2.90, a level where bulls may consider reentry if the price stabilizes.


XRP/USD via Bitfinex 1-day chart on Aug. 14, 2025.

Oscillator Analysis

Oscillators currently present a mixed but cautious outlook. The relative strength index (RSI) sits at 49.42, indicating a neutral condition, while the Stochastic oscillator stands at 72.47, also in neutral territory. The commodity channel index (CCI) at 13.67 and the average directional index (ADX) at 28.93 both reflect a market lacking clear directional strength. The Awesome oscillator (AO) reads 0.07297 with no clear momentum bias. However, bearish signals emerge from the momentum indicator at -0.00636 and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) at 0.06964, both suggesting selling pressure.

Moving Averages Analysis

Moving averages (MAs) further validate the prevailing downtrend. Short-term indicators such as the exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) over 10 and 20 periods—EMA(10) at $3.16212 and SMA(10) at $3.17122, EMA(20) at $3.12245 and SMA(20) at $3.11169—are signaling bearish action. Only the EMA over 30 periods, EMA(30) at $3.05865, offers a bullish signal, while its simple counterpart, SMA(30) at $3.18784, remains bearish. Long-term moving averages from 50 to 200 periods are all firmly in bullish territory, with EMA(200) at $2.42118 and SMA(200) at $2.45647, indicating strong foundational support beneath the current price level.

Bull Verdict

XRP’s current consolidation above key support levels, combined with long-term moving averages signaling continued upside, suggests that the broader uptrend remains intact. If bulls can reclaim the $3.12 to $3.25 range with strong volume, a renewed rally toward $3.34 and beyond remains on the table, supported by institutional buying on dips.

Bear Verdict

The dominance of bearish price structures across intraday and daily charts, combined with weak momentum indicators and persistent resistance at $3.15 to $3.35, points toward further downside risk. Unless the price decisively reclaims $3.25, the path of least resistance remains lower, with a potential retest of the $2.90 to $2.95 support zone likely in the near term.

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