Ethereum Technical Analysis: ETH Surpasses $3,100 Threshold after 21 Days

Ethereum Technical Analysis: ETH Surpasses $3,100 Threshold after 21 Days

Ethereum has been displaying a tight range between $3,048 and $3,139 throughout the day. With a market capitalization of $373 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of $9.83 billion, the cryptocurrency’s technical outlook is mixed. As of 7:57 (EDT) on Monday, ether is trading at just under $3,100, specifically $3,093 per unit.

The hourly chart for ethereum indicates bearish pressure, especially after the price failed to break above the $3,139 resistance level. Recent activity shows volatile price movements with a significant drop, indicating a slight sell-off. Support is identified at $3,048, and volume spikes suggest active trading and potential short-term volatility. Traders should wait for a strong confirmation of support or a bullish reversal pattern before considering new positions.

On the 4-hour chart, ethereum presents mixed signals. A recent rally reached a peak at $3,147, followed by a pullback, indicating a consolidation phase. The support level is around $2,863, and visible volume spikes during the rally reflect strong buying interest. The current consolidation phase suggests that traders should watch for a breakout above recent highs or a drop below support to determine the next directional move.

The daily chart shows a slightly bearish trend characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Support is found at $2,813, while resistance is at $3,356. Despite the bearish trend, recent bullish momentum can be seen through a series of upswings, suggesting a potential short-term uptrend. Volume remains relatively low, indicating weaker conviction behind these price movements. A confirmed breakout above resistance or a firm bounce from support could signal stronger directional moves.

Oscillators present a neutral outlook, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 52 and the Stochastic at 72.3. The commodity channel index (CCI) at 79 and the average directional index (ADX) at 16.0 also suggest neutrality. However, the momentum indicator at 193.9 and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level at -26.1 signal bullish conditions. Moving averages (MAs) offer a mixed view, with shorter-term averages (10, 20, 30-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) and simple moving averages (SMAs)) indicating positive signals, while longer-term averages (50, 100-day EMAs and SMAs) provide sell signals, reflecting a divergence in short-term versus long-term trends.

For traders, potential entry points on the daily chart are around the $2,813 support level, given confirmation of a bounce or reversal. On the 4-hour chart, entering near $2,863 per ETH could be strategic, especially with increasing volume and price strength. A more aggressive entry on the hourly chart could be near $3,048 if strong support and a bullish reversal pattern emerge. Exit strategies should consider the $3,356 resistance level on the daily chart, partial exits around $3,147 on the 4-hour chart, and exits near $3,139 on the hourly chart if no significant breakout occurs.

Bull Verdict:
Considering the recent bullish momentum seen in the daily chart with consecutive price increases and strong support levels around $2,813, ethereum demonstrates the potential for a short-term uptrend. The bullish signals from momentum indicators and MAs support this outlook.

Bear Verdict:
Despite the short-term bullish signals, ethereum’s overall trend remains slightly bearish with lower highs and lower lows on the daily chart. The significant resistance levels and the mixed signals from longer-term moving averages suggest caution. The low trading volume further indicates weak conviction behind recent price movements, implying that the bearish trend may persist unless significant bullish confirmation appears.

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